Momentum decides what is eligible. Value decides the weights.
RAS-F rebalances monthly across commodity indices, gold, TIPS and cash. Momentum screens out asset classes that are falling; proprietary value measures size what remains.
- Allocates between
- Commodity indices, gold, TIPS and cash
- Rebalances
- Monthly
- Eligibility
- Momentum: asset classes with negative momentum are excluded
- Weighting
- Proprietary value measures of expected return
- Available as
- A separate account, in TAMP format, as a commingled vehicle, or white-labeled
Why avoidance beats prediction
The hardest part of a real-assets allocation is not picking the winner. It is not being fully invested in the loser. Commodity complexes trend, and they trend for long enough that a strategy which simply declines to hold what is falling captures most of the available benefit without needing to call the turn.
Momentum here is a filter, not a signal to size on. Sizing is a value question, and the two jobs are kept separate deliberately.
Common questions
How does this differ from the diversified version?
RAS-F is the focused member of the pair: commodity indices, gold, TIPS and cash, with momentum setting eligibility and value setting weights. The diversified version adds timber REITs and blends momentum against value according to the volatility regime.
Can it be white-labeled?
Yes. Both real-assets strategies can be licensed by an RIA or asset manager wanting a branded inflation product without building the capability in-house.
How this one sits alongside the rest.
US CPI Tracking Strategy
Most inflation protection asks you to accept commodity-scale volatility to get CPI sensitivity. This strategy was built to remove that trade-off, and has been run against monthly CPI for five years.
Read moreFour Real Dynamic Multi-Asset
Four Real allocates across equities, inflation-linked bonds, commodities and cash using two durable signals: a real yield tilt and a relative-value tilt.
Read moreDiversified Real Assets (RAS-D)
RAS-D optimizes a momentum sub-strategy and a value sub-strategy separately, then allocates between them according to the prevailing volatility regime.
Read moreDefend Your Money.
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