Enduring Insights
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The 'Real Feel' Inflation Rate
Michael Ashton – August 17, 2010
Inflation as it is measured, inflation as it is perceived, the difference between the two, and the implications of that difference. Read more »
Long-Term TIPS: A Good Deal
Michael Ashton – March 24, 2010
A bottom-up approach to long-run expected equity returns suggests that long-term TIPS are priced to return a similar rate with less volatility, even if stocks are only fair value rather than expensive. Read more »
The Hedonic Adjustment Also Rises
Michael Ashton – March 9, 2010
Although many people believe that when the BLS hedonically adjusts price indices to reflect changes in quality it systematically dampens recorded inflation, there is at least one significant example of hedonic adjustment being used to increase recorded inflation for a large part of the index. Read more »
Cognitive Errors And The CPI
Michael Ashton – February 17, 2010
The Government is not beaming secret messages into our brains, and it isn't manipulating CPI to hold down transfer payments, either. Here are the main reasons people perceive more inflation than there actually is. Read more »
Inflation Models Suggest Bottom In 2010Q3
Michael Ashton – January 29, 2010
With the latest data plugged in, our models are calling for core inflation to bottom in late Q3 and accelerate in Q4. Read more »
Hayek versus Keynes...In Verse
Michael Ashton – January 28, 2010
We rarely post anything with no additional comment, but this link to a terrific video comparing Keynes' theories to Hayek's is terrific. Read more »